Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1.012893 1.149934 1.299240 1.474079 1.673334 1.893492 2.155411
2025-12-28 0.817087 1.007040 1.232002 1.518510 1.874380 2.302767 2.858980
2026-01-04 0.679937 0.886631 1.145888 1.495823 1.957265 2.546971 3.361087
2026-01-11 0.606037 0.827574 1.118828 1.531188 2.102451 2.869546 3.983966
2026-01-18 0.539863 0.767004 1.077951 1.536723 2.200005 3.129743 4.541783
2026-01-25 0.479059 0.704910 1.025373 1.515831 2.252411 3.325258 5.020771
2026-02-01 0.425097 0.645648 0.968906 1.480359 2.275494 3.474800 5.440319
2026-02-08 0.379590 0.593572 0.916699 1.443858 2.290014 3.608231 5.842764
2026-02-15 0.352201 0.566144 0.898475 1.456668 2.380294 3.864262 6.462195
2026-02-22 0.324172 0.534657 0.870355 1.449761 2.436173 4.067532 7.011417
2026-03-01 0.297146 0.502057 0.837066 1.430292 2.467717 4.230977 7.505551
2026-03-08 0.267524 0.462293 0.788173 1.379226 2.439164 4.287448 7.813769
2026-03-15 0.243236 0.431769 0.756053 1.361329 2.479995 4.491668 8.456405
2026-03-22 0.229964 0.419759 0.755725 1.401825 2.634106 4.922563 9.588952
2026-03-29 0.209385 0.392133 0.724297 1.380945 2.670309 5.137224 10.329016
2026-04-05 0.198333 0.380926 0.721558 1.413507 2.811777 5.567123 11.550522
2026-04-12 0.184990 0.363854 0.705831 1.418603 2.898687 5.898017 12.608289
2026-04-19 0.170260 0.342497 0.679544 1.399367 2.933194 6.125216 13.472239
2026-04-26 0.155654 0.319888 0.648465 1.366707 2.935401 6.284157 14.204682
2026-05-03 0.142467 0.298873 0.618526 1.333095 2.931396 6.428364 14.920495
2026-05-10 0.134824 0.288742 0.610108 1.344891 3.028326 6.804159 16.221258
2026-05-17 0.126236 0.275727 0.594290 1.338531 3.083267 7.090871 17.345315
2026-05-24 0.117451 0.261430 0.574317 1.320603 3.109252 7.313072 18.338906